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Recently Geneva Steel received word
that the hoped-for financing to keep it going had been turned down.
The shutdown has resulted in the loss of many jobs.
Since then, many people have attacked
free trade for Geneva's demise. But I'd like to take what appears
to be an unpopular position in favor of free trade.
Free markets must be win-win propositions.
I will not voluntarily trade my X for your Y unless I come out ahead.
You will not voluntarily trade your Y for my X unless you come out
ahead. If we transact, we must both come out ahead. What some people
in the United States call unfair competition from workers willing
to accept low wages, people in other countries call a blessing.
The reason that workers in these countries are willing to work for
less is that those jobs are the highest paying and most secure jobs
available. The jobs mean their children get health care and don't
have to live on dirt floors. Free trade means that both countries,
in aggregate at least, can be better off even though some individuals
may be worse off. For example, let's suppose that in Country A apples
are cheap and oranges expensive, and in Country B the opposite is
true. If free trade is allowed, the price of oranges in Country
A will fall and the price of apples will fall in Country B. In total,
all people can afford more of both apples and oranges.
The problem is that orange growers
in Country A and apple growers in Country B lose their jobs and
must find other work. Of course, apple growers in Country A and
orange growers in Country B will hire some of the displaced workers,
but the workers may have to retrain or move. So even though in aggregate
everyone is better off, some individuals are worse off, and these
individuals will fight against free trade. Although the majority
of people are benefited, the benefits may be small for individual
consumers (a few more apples and oranges) so that it is not worth
the individual effort to fight for free trade. However, if you add
up the small benefits to the individuals in the majority, the total
far outweighs the loss to the minority.
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In the long run, fighting free trade
makes things worse. First, the country might raise tariffs to protect
miners, which raises the price of ore. But steelmakers are hurt
because they can't compete with foreign steelmakers who can buy
ore for less, so the country has to raise tariffs to protect steelmakers.
But then carmakers are hurt since they have to pay higher prices
for steel and can't compete against foreign automakers who can buy
steel for less. Eventually everyone is paying higher prices and
the standard of living falls compared to the rest of the world.
Studies of the automobile quotas in
the 1980s to protect U.S. automakers indicate that auto buyers paid
more than twice the price to save a job than the salary the job
paid. In the long run, the restricted supply caused by the quotas
meant that the Japanese automakers sold for higher prices and, since
their costs were lower, made large profits, with which they bought
technology that reduced costs even further.
The quotas raised the prices in the
U.S. enough that automakers could pay their workers, but there weren't
enough profits to invest in new technologies, which is why the U.S.
plants reduced labor or closed. Membership in the United Auto Workers
union has fallen from 1.5 million in 1979 to 671,000 at the end
of 2000. The barriers to free trade may have saved jobs in the short
run, but they destroyed them in the long run.
Entrepreneurs are constantly searching
for ways to offer a higher quality product at lower cost. Sometimes
this means going global. We should tolerate the short-term pain
of job losses for the long-term gain of higher standards of living
that free trade creates.
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