Raising taxes can backfire by squelching entrepreneurial efforts

12/02/07
By Hal Heaton Printed in the Deseret News

Charles Rangel, congressman from New York, has proposed a sweeping tax reform bill. He argues that the bill represents "fair taxation" because it dramatically raises the tax rates for high-income taxpayers.

My first reaction is a question based on my understanding that 20 percent of taxpayers pay 80 percent of all income taxes - even though they earn only 50 percent of all income - while the bottom 50 percent of all taxpayers pay less than 4 percent of income taxes. What would the ratios have to be before they are "fair"?

To understand how taxes impact the economy, we need to ask what changes a tax will create in the overall economy.

The first analysis indicates that taxpayers who are taxed more have less money and will buy fewer goods and services. A too-simple analysis would indicate that this would cause less employment in those industries in which taxpayers buy less.

However, the tax dollars have to go somewhere. If the government simply transfers the money to other people, the other people will increase purchases of goods and services. That will cause employment to go up in those industries. So if a taxpayer would have bought a car, but the recipient of the taxes buys health care, then employment would shift from the automobile industry to the health-care industry. The economy might not be significantly affected.

But even this is too simple. Taking taxes from some people and giving the money to others requires more government workers to assess and enforce the tax and others to oversee the paying of benefits. That means that there will be fewer people employed producing goods and services and more people employed simply administering the tax. In total, there will be fewer goods and services available since fewer people will be producing them.

Another impact is that taxpayers start to hire accountants and lawyers to keep the records needed to calculate taxes and also to figure out ways to pay less in taxes. As a result, more people are employed

keeping track of taxes, and fewer people will be employed producing primary goods and services.

The incentive to cheat on taxes increases as tax rates increase. Higher tax rates might cause some workers to retire earlier. Also, high-income taxpayers might choose to buy art or yachts that produce no income rather than invest in businesses that produce income (and goods and services) that is taxed.

Another potential problem is that high-income people who pay the taxes invest more of their income than the low income recipients who receive benefits from those taxes. Higher taxes mean that there will be less investment in plants and equipment and less employment because there are fewer plants and less equipment that requires workers to operate.

But perhaps the greatest potential danger is the impact on incentives. Suppose entrepreneurs who might start businesses, develop better products and services or develop more efficient ways of producing goods and services choose not to start those businesses because the higher taxes reduce the payoffs to the effort. The overall economy becomes stagnant and less productive. Standards of living fall.

An extreme example of this is Zimbabwe today. Zimbabwe used to be the breadbasket of Africa. It produced far more than it consumed and had a thriving export industry. Robert Mugabe confiscated the productive farms from the mostly white farmers and gave them to government cronies to run. The productivity of the farms collapsed. Thousands of black farm workers lost their jobs. The remaining businesses are suffocated by government officials demanding "inspection fees," "licensing fees" and a host of other taxes.

A huge portion of the population works for the government, but there are so few goods available, refugees are fleeing the country to avoid starvation.

I am not arguing that taxes should not be raised. I am, however, emphasizing that there is a cost that must be considered. Too often, all of the rhetoric is only about the benefit of the government program. The benefits of the government program must be weighed against the economic cost of the tax. Don't kill the geese (entrepreneurial efforts) that lay the golden eggs (the income that pays the tax).

Mr. Hal Heaton is associated with the BYU Center for Entrepreneurship. He can be reached via e-mail at cfe@byu.edu.